Cascade of arms: managing conventional weapons proliferation by Andrew J. Pierre

By Andrew J. Pierre

This paintings appears on the impct of guns purchases at the crucial recipient areas and the probabilities for local palms keep an eye on and dissects the economics of hands export for the manufacturer countries in either the constructing and industrialized worlds. The booklet completely discusses the possibilities for, and stumbling blocks to, reaching multilateral fingers restraint within the Nineteen Nineties.

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Segal largely attributes Page 9 China's seemingly unrestrained transfers to its desire to use its commerce in arms as a political lever in the international community, as well as to its distrust of multilateral arms control agreements. In closing, he offers insights into dealing with Chinese sales, focusing in particular on curbing the regional arms races to which China has contributed. Leaving the major suppliers, Part Four turns to the three largest regional markets for conventional armsthe Middle East and Persian Gulf, the Asia-Pacific area and South Asia (arms imports in Latin America and sub-Saharan Africa are comparatively small).

The data for the years 198082 were converted to constant 1993 dollars. 5. Swadesh Rana, Small Arms and Intra State Conflict, Research Paper No. 34, United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (Geneva, 1995), v. 6. "Worldwide Threat Assessment Brief," statement of John Deutch, Director of Central Intelligence, to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (mimeo) (22 February 1996). Page 12 7. Richard F. S. , 1996), 82. 8. Richard F. S. , 1994), 19. Page 13 PART ONE PATTERNS AND TRENDS IN ARMS TRANSFERS AND PROSPECTIVE DEVELOPMENTS Page 15 Two The Conventional Arms Trade Ian Anthony AS WITH almost all other aspects of international security, the new political environment created by the end of the Cold War has profoundly changed the trade in conventional arms.

Steinberg examines the nature of demand and supply in the world's largest regional arms markets. He discusses the interconnectedness of the two sub-regional arms races, one stemming from the Arab-Israeli conflict and the other from the tensions among the oil-producing states of the Persian Gulf. Steinberg addresses the mix of political, security and economic motives that have traditionally encouraged the major arms suppliers to sell so freely and the recipients to purchase so willingly. While he harbors no illusions about the ease of establishing viable regional arms control restraints, he does point to a series of developments that suggest opportunities for such measures.

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